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Normalisation and Realignment in the Middle East: a new, conflict-prone regional order takes shape
(Wieder-)Annäherungen in Nahost: eine konfliktträchtige neue regionale Ordnung gewinnt Kontur
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Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik -SWP- Deutsches Institut für Internationale Politik und Sicherheit
Abstract Between 2020 and 2021, Israel concluded normalisation agreements with four Arab states. They were celebrated internationally as a breakthrough. Meanwhile, since 2018, and largely unnoticed by the public, Arab states have started repairing their relations with Syria. Finally, in January 2021, Egypt, ... view more
Between 2020 and 2021, Israel concluded normalisation agreements with four Arab states. They were celebrated internationally as a breakthrough. Meanwhile, since 2018, and largely unnoticed by the public, Arab states have started repairing their relations with Syria. Finally, in January 2021, Egypt, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) ended their boycott of Qatar during the meeting of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) in Al-Ula, Saudi Arabia. Changing assessments of the regional security situation and converging interests have enabled these rapprochements. However, these developments do not mean that the region is moving towards peace and stability; on the contrary, long-lasting conflicts remain unresolved and the threat perceptions of third actors are being exacerbated. Germany and its partners in the EU should avoid being co-opted by local and regional conflicting parties and should instead focus on supporting regional conflict management. (author's abstract)... view less
Keywords
Middle East; North Africa; Arab countries; Persian Gulf; Syria; Israel; bilateral relations; international relations; foreign policy; diplomacy; pressure-group politics; Arab League; United Arab Emirates; Egypt; Saudi Arabia; Bahrain; Qatar; international agreement; sanction; Palestine; Middle East conflict; United States of America; Sudan; Morocco; Western Sahara; civil war; Iran; Turkey; guarantee of domination; EU; Federal Republic of Germany
Classification
International Relations, International Politics, Foreign Affairs, Development Policy
Peace and Conflict Research, International Conflicts, Security Policy
Free Keywords
Gulf Cooperation Council; Golfstaaten; Multilaterale internationale Beziehungen; Regionale internationale Prozesse und Tendenzen; Regionale internationale Beziehungen; Außenpolitische Annäherung; Normalisierung diplomatischer Beziehungen; Versöhnung; Wechselbeziehungen im Bereich der Außenpolitik; Autoritäre Herrschaft; Trump, Donald; Asad, Baššār al; Regionale Außenpolitik einzelner Staaten; Regionale Außenpolitik von Staatengruppen
Document language
English
Publication Year
2021
City
Berlin
Page/Pages
8 p.
Series
SWP Comment, 45/2021
DOI
https://doi.org/10.18449/2021C45
ISSN
2747-5107
Status
Published Version; reviewed
Licence
Deposit Licence - No Redistribution, No Modifications