The costs and benefits of leaving the EU

  • What would be the economic effects of the UK leaving the European Union on living standards of British people? We focus on the effects of trade on welfare net of lower fiscal transfers to the EU. We use a standard quantitative static general equilibrium trade model with multiple sectors, countries and intermediates, as in Costinot and Rodriguez-Clare (2013). Static losses range between 1.13% and 3.09% of GDP, depending on the assumptions used in our counterfactual scenarios. Including dynamic effects could more than double such losses.

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Metadaten
Author:Gianmarco I. P. OttavianoORCiDGND, João Paulo Pessoa, Thomas Sampson, John Van Reenen
URN:urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-351041
URL:http://ssrn.com/abstract=2506664
DOI:https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2506664
Parent Title (English):Center for Financial Studies (Frankfurt am Main): CFS working paper series ; No. 472
Series (Serial Number):CFS working paper series (472)
Publisher:Center for Financial Studies
Place of publication:Frankfurt, M.
Document Type:Working Paper
Language:English
Year of Completion:2014
Year of first Publication:2014
Publishing Institution:Universitätsbibliothek Johann Christian Senckenberg
Release Date:2014/10/20
Tag:European Union; trade; welfare
Issue:May 13, 2014
Page Number:18
HeBIS-PPN:351156232
Institutes:Wirtschaftswissenschaften / Wirtschaftswissenschaften
Wissenschaftliche Zentren und koordinierte Programme / Center for Financial Studies (CFS)
Dewey Decimal Classification:3 Sozialwissenschaften / 33 Wirtschaft / 330 Wirtschaft
Sammlungen:Universitätspublikationen
Licence (German):License LogoDeutsches Urheberrecht