"Do credit rating agencies add to the dynamics of emerging market crises?"

  • The experience in the period during and after the Asian crisis of 1997-98 has provoked an extensive debate about the credit rating agencies' evaluation of sovereign risk in emerging markets lending. This study analyzes the role of credit rating agencies in international finan-cial markets, particularly whether sovereign credit ratings have an impact on the financial stability in emerging market economies. The event study and panel regression results indicate that credit rating agencies have substantial influence on the size and volatility of emerging markets lending. The empirical results are significantly stronger in the case of government's downgrades and negative imminent sovereign credit rating actions such as credit watches and rating outlooks than positive adjustments by the credit rating agencies while by the market participants' anticipated sovereign credit rating changes have a smaller impact on financial markets in emerging economies.

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Metadaten
Author:Roman KräusslORCiDGND
URN:urn:nbn:de:hebis:30-10230
Parent Title (German):Center for Financial Studies (Frankfurt am Main): CFS working paper series ; No. 2003,18
Series (Serial Number):CFS working paper series (2003, 18)
Document Type:Working Paper
Language:English
Year of Completion:2003
Year of first Publication:2003
Publishing Institution:Universitätsbibliothek Johann Christian Senckenberg
Release Date:2005/06/13
Tag:Credit Ratings; Financial Crises; Sovereign Risk
GND Keyword:Rating; Wirtschaftskrise; Schwellenländer; Kreditmarkt; Ratingagentur
Issue:This version August 2003
HeBIS-PPN:211240389
Institutes:Wissenschaftliche Zentren und koordinierte Programme / Center for Financial Studies (CFS)
Dewey Decimal Classification:3 Sozialwissenschaften / 33 Wirtschaft / 330 Wirtschaft
Licence (German):License LogoDeutsches Urheberrecht