Beliefs that entertain / Ashvin Gandhi (UCLA and NBER), Paola Giuliano (UCLA, NBER and IZA), Eric Guan (Riot Games), Quinn Keefer (CSU San Marcos), Chase McDonald (Riot Games and Carnegie Mellon University), Michaela Pagel (Washington University in St. Louis, CEPR and NBER), Joshua Tasoff (Claremont Graduate University) ; IZA Institute of Labor Economics