Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Machine learning and IoTs for forecasting prediction of smart road traffic flow

  • Application of soft computing
  • Published:
Soft Computing Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This paper proposes to predict traffic accidents based on IoTs and deep learning to address the current problem of inaccurate traffic accident prediction. Since traditional traffic accident prediction often applies classical prediction algorithms to a small portion of data, the obtained models can only predict a small range of traffic accidents. Most accident prediction models are limited by the lack of data features, do not consider the problems of practical application scenarios, and do not incorporate regional heterogeneity, so the prediction accuracy of accident prediction models is poor. This paper analyzes and summarizes the relationship between traffic accidents and influencing factors from five aspects, such as people, vehicles, roads and environment, and proves the influence of regional heterogeneity on accidents, which paves the way for traffic accident prediction. The data and heterogeneous spatial data are preprocessed and feature selected, respectively. Logistic regression and random forest algorithm are used to train the corresponding prediction models. The results show that the prediction model combined with regional heterogeneity has better comprehensive performance than the original data.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Figure7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9

Similar content being viewed by others

Data availability

Enquiries about data availability should be directed to the authors.

References

  • Chen C (2020) Research on missing value recovery method of traffic data based on sparse representation. Jiangsu Univ

  • Chen Y, Wei S, Zhang L (2020) Road traffic accident prediction model based on GM (1, n). J North China Univ Technol: Nat Sci Edit 1:47–50

    Google Scholar 

  • Deng J, Zhang Q (2019) Traffic flow prediction model based on data mining technology. Comput Syst Appl 28(07):114–120

    Google Scholar 

  • Fang Y (2020) Research on expressway traffic incident detection algorithm based on ensemble learning. Jilin Univ

  • Gu H (2020) Research on variable lane clearing control based on traffic flow prediction. North Univ Technol

  • He L, Chen L, Jiang J (2019) Traffic flow prediction based on spatiotemporal data. Traffic Trans 32(S1):75–80

    Google Scholar 

  • Hong Z (2020) Urban traffic flow prediction method based on multi graph neural network. Zhejiang Univ Technol

  • Huang Y (2020) Short term traffic flow prediction strategy based on heterogeneous wireless network. Zhejiang Univ Technol

  • Li S (2020a) Short term traffic flow prediction based on spatiotemporal fusion model of path clustering. Hefei Univ Technol

  • Li J (2020b) Short term traffic flow prediction based on long short term memory network model. Shandong Univ

  • Li M, Huang C (2019) Short term traffic flow prediction based on ensemble learning. J Jinan Univ (NATURAL SCIENCE EDITION) 33(05):389–395

    Google Scholar 

  • Li T, Wang Q (2020) Prediction of road network traffic flow under the background of spatiotemporal analysis. Comput Eng Appl 56(17):258–265

    Google Scholar 

  • Peng P (2020) Research on road traffic flow prediction method based on deep learning. Zhejiang Univ Technol

  • Poorzaker Arabani S, Ebrahimpour Komleh H (2018) The improvement of forecasting ATMs cash demand of iran banking network using convolutional neural network. Arabian J Sci Eng 44:3733–3743

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Qiu S (2020a) Research on signal control time division method based on intersection flow prediction data. Jilin Univ

  • Qiu Y (2020b) Research on regional traffic coordinated control based on short-term traffic flow prediction. Zhejiang Normal Univ

  • She H (2020) Research and application of traffic congestion control based on state prediction. Univ Sci Technol China

  • Song S (2019) Short term traffic flow prediction based on floating car data. Dalian Univ Technol

  • Sun S, Ma H, Jia Z, Li M, Sun S, Ma H, Jia Z, Li M (2021) Risk factors analysis of 880 cases of open limb injury complicated with early infection caused by car accident. J Shandong Univ (Med Edit), Vol. 59, No. 1, pp. 72–77, Istic PKU Ca

  • Tang S (2020a) Research on short-term traffic flow prediction method based on EEMD. Hefei Univ Technol

  • Tang L (2020b) Research and implementation of intelligent traffic situation prediction technology based on attention mechanism. Zhejiang Univ Technol

  • Tang R, Chen Q, Lei X (2019) Gqpso-wnn short term traffic flow prediction based on phase space reconstruction. Comput Appl Softw 36(07):311–316

    Google Scholar 

  • Wang S, Xiao J, Du F et al (2020) A traffic accident prediction method based on hybrid geographic weighted regression: cn111210052a

  • Xie J (2020) Research and application of traffic flow prediction method based on deep learning. Zhejiang Univ Technol

  • Xue S (2020) Study on traffic flow prediction of urban road network based on spatiotemporal convolution network. Jiangxi Normal Univ

  • Xu D, Yin Y, Zhang X et al (2020) Maritime traffic accident prediction based on improved three parameter grey model. China Navig 043(001):12–17

    Google Scholar 

  • Yang W, Zhang Z, Wushouer S et al (2020) Gbrt traffic accident prediction model based on time series. J Univ Electron Sci Technol, (4)

  • Yin H, Zhou W (2020) Application of deep learning in expressway traffic accident prediction in Jiangsu Province. China Traffic Inf 000(002):125–129

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhang T (2020a) Research on short term traffic forecasting algorithm based on deep learning. Dalian Maritime Univ

  • Zhang B (2020b) Research on traffic state recognition and visualization technology based on ship big data. Dalian Maritime Univ

  • Zhang D (2020c) Traffic state identification and prediction of Urban expressway based on multi-source data. South China Univ Technol

  • Zhang Y, Fu Y (2020) Prediction of ship traffic accidents based on arima-bp neural network. J Shanghai Maritime Univ, (3).

  • Zhao Q (2019) Research on recurrent neural network algorithm for short-term traffic flow analysis and prediction. Xi'an Univ Technol

  • Zhou Z (2020) Research on travel time prediction of commuter section based on KNN and xgboost. Nanjing Univ

  • Zhu K (2020) Research and application of traffic flow forecasting method based on BRB and rnn-gcn. Harbin Normal Univ

  • Zhu Y, Guo T (2019) Short term traffic flow prediction at intersections based on GA-BP neural network. Transp Res 5(02):45–51

    Google Scholar 

  • Zou Y, Deng M (2019) Traffic flow prediction method based on long-term convolution depth network. Surv Sp Geogr Inf, 42 (07): 131–133, 137

Download references

Acknowledgements

This work is supported by high data analysis road video surveillance and perceived technology research project number 2019G1 smart road big data application technology research project number 2016Y4.

Funding

The authors have not disclosed any funding.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Sun Chuanxia.

Ethics declarations

Conflict of interest

The authors have not disclosed any competing interests.

Additional information

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Chuanxia, S., Han, Z. & Peixuan, Y. Machine learning and IoTs for forecasting prediction of smart road traffic flow. Soft Comput 27, 323–335 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-022-07618-3

Download citation

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-022-07618-3

Keywords

Navigation