Abstract
Background and Aim
The aim of the present study is to evaluate a new index (PECS (PsECogSii)index) influenced by PS ECOG and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) in unresectable locally advanced or metastatic BTC patients treated with first-line chemotherapy.
Methods
This multicenter, international, study was conducted on a training cohort of 130 patients and in three European and Korean validation cohorts The PECS index was calculated as ECOG × SII index (neutrophil count × platelet count/lymphocyte count). Event-time distributions were estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method and survival curves were compared using the log-rank test.
Results
In the training cohort, the median overall survival (mOS) was 13.2 months, 8.7 months, and 3.8 months for patients with PECS-0, PECS-1, and PECS-2, respectively (PECS-0: HR = 1; PECS-1: HR 1.41; PECS-2: HR 3.23) (p < 0.0001). In the first validation cohort, the mOS was 12.8 months, 10.1 months, and 5.3 months for patients with PECS-0, PECS-1, and PECS-2, respectively (PECS-0: HR = 1; PECS-1: HR 1.29; PECS-2: HR 2.40) (p < 0.0001). In the second validation cohort, the mOS was 21.2 months, 10.2 months, and 3.0 months for patients with PECS-0, PECS-1, and PECS-2, respectively (PECS-0: HR = 1; PECS-1: HR 2.25; PECS-2: HR 9.00) (p < 0.0001). In the third validation cohort, the median OS was 15.5 months, 7.5 months, and 3.7 months for patients with PECS-0, PECS-1, and PECS-2, respectively (PECS-0: ref HR = 1; PECS-1: HR 2.14; PECS-2: HR 5.00) (p < 0.0001). Multivariate analysis in all cohorts confirmed the PECS index as an independent prognostic factor for OS.
Conclusions
The easy assessment, low cost, and reproducibility make PECS index a promising tool to assess the prognosis of BTC patients in future clinical practice.
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Availability of Data and Materials
On request.
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Conception and design: A. Casadei Gardini, G Rovesti. Acquisition of data (acquired and managed patients): Giulia Rovesti, Francesco Leone,Giovanni Brandi, Lorenzo Fornaro, Mario Scartozzi, Monica Niger, Changhoon Yoo, Francesco Caputo, Roberto Filippi, Mariaelena Casagrande, Nicola Silvestris, Daniele Santini, Luca Faloppi, Andrea Palloni, Massimo Aglietta, Caterina Vivaldi, Hyungwoo Cho, Eleonora Lai, Elisabetta Fenocchio, Federico Nichetti, Nicoletta Pella, Stefania De Lorenzo, Massimo Di Maio, Enrico Vasile, Filippo de Braud, Jae Ho Jeong, Giuseppe Aprile, Giulia Orsi, Stefano Cascinu, Andrea Casadei-Gardini Analysis and interpretation of data: A. Casadei Gardini, G Rovesti. Writing, review, and/or revision of the manuscript: A. Casadei Gardini, G Rovesti. Final approval of manuscript: All authors.
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Ethical approval All procedures performed in studies involving human participants were in accordance with the ethical standards of the institutional and/or national research committee and with the 1964 Helsinki declaration and its later amendments or comparable ethical standards. Informed consent Informed consent was obtained from all individual participants included in the study.
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Rovesti, G., Leone, F., Brandi, G. et al. Prognostic Role of a New Index Tested in European and Korean Advanced Biliary Tract Cancer Patients: the PECS Index. J Gastrointest Canc 53, 289–298 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12029-021-00596-z
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12029-021-00596-z