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Fatalistic Beliefs and Migration Behaviors: A Study of Ideational Demography in Nepal

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Abstract

We investigate influences of fatalistic beliefs on domestic and international migration in Nepal, positing that fatalistic beliefs may affect decisions to migrate and where to locate. Fatalism is the belief that human outcomes are preordained by forces outside of one’s power and control. Because of its relationship with effort and innovation, fatalism may be an important factor in people’s decision to migrate and destination choice. We expect that fatalistic beliefs encourage or discourage migration depending upon societal expectations to migrate and the relative ease of migration to different destinations. Our empirical analysis relies on migration histories of respondents from the Chitwan Valley Family Study. Results from multinomial logistic regression models provide evidence that fatalistic beliefs increase overall migration propensity and has both positive and negative destination-specific effects. Fatalistic beliefs increase Nepalis’ odds of migrating to destinations that are, relatively speaking, easier to access, but decrease the odds of migrating to destinations with higher barriers to entry.

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Notes

  1. Our conceptualization of fatalism is different than that used in some other migration studies in which individuals are seen as having beliefs about whether their fate is destined to be good or bad or as having beliefs that they can succeed in having an external force tip good luck in their direction (Gereke 2016; Hagan 2008). These other kinds of fatalistic beliefs might be relevant for migration as they could influence beliefs about the outcome of migration. However, our conceptualization is different; we hypothesize that belief in the existence of fatalism itself affects migration by influencing the amount of effort a person is willing to exert to accomplish goals.

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Acknowledgements

We thank Christine Bachrach, Katharine Donato, Douglas Massey, and Michael White for their helpful advice and comments on an earlier version of this article. We also appreciate the research support provided by a Grant (R01 HD078397) from the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD). Our research was also supported by NICHD research Grants (R24 HD041028 and P2CHD041028) to the Population Studies Center of the University of Michigan and by an NICHD research infrastructure Grant (R24 HD042828) to the Center for Studies in Demography and Ecology at the University of Washington. The content of this article is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the National Institutes of Health.

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Thornton, A., Bhandari, P., Swindle, J. et al. Fatalistic Beliefs and Migration Behaviors: A Study of Ideational Demography in Nepal. Popul Res Policy Rev 39, 643–670 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11113-019-09551-0

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