Fiscal performance and the re-election of finance ministers–evidence from the Swiss cantons

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State: Public
Version: Final published version
License: CC BY 4.0
Serval ID
serval:BIB_FD35D0A58400
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Fiscal performance and the re-election of finance ministers–evidence from the Swiss cantons
Journal
Public Choice
Author(s)
Buchs Aurélia, Soguel Nils
ISSN
0048-5829
1573-7101
Publication state
Published
Issued date
27/01/2022
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Language
english
Abstract
Using data from 225 cantonal government elections over the 1980–2019 period in Switzerland, we estimate the effect of fiscal performance on the vote share of finance ministers seeking re-election. Our estimations show that finance ministers benefit statistically and electorally from balancing fiscal accounts and presenting budget surpluses. Improving the fiscal balance by 1000 Swiss francs per inhabitant in the pre-election year raises the electoral result of a finance minister by 1.4–5.4 percentage points from the vote share of her previous election. We present evidence for politician-specific monitoring: the finance minister—in contrast to the spending ministers—seems to be the sole member of government who benefits, electorally, from debt reduction. Correcting for possible selection phenomena, our results suggest that the electoral effect of fiscal performance may not be caused by a selection bias but rather by the office of the finance ministry itself.
Keywords
Fiscal performance, Electoral accountability, Finance minister, Multi-seat majority elections
Web of science
Open Access
Yes
Funding(s)
University of Lausanne
Create date
08/04/2022 14:46
Last modification date
01/07/2022 7:14
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