There is Nothing Magical About Bayesian Statistics: An Introduction to Epistemic Probabilities in Data Analysis for Psychology Starters

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Ressource 1Download: Swiatkowski & Carrier, 2020_draft.pdf (922.93 [Ko])
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Version: Author's accepted manuscript
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Serval ID
serval:BIB_C4C075D72C08
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
There is Nothing Magical About Bayesian Statistics: An Introduction to Epistemic Probabilities in Data Analysis for Psychology Starters
Journal
Basic and Applied Social Psychology
Author(s)
Świątkowski Wojciech, Carrier Antonin
Publication state
Published
Issued date
25/07/2020
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
42
Number
6
Pages
387-412
Language
english
Abstract
This paper is a reader-friendly introduction to Bayesian inference applied to psychological science. We begin by explaining the difference between frequentist and epistemic interpretations of probability that underpin respectively frequentist and Bayesian statistics. We use a concrete example – a student wondering whether s/he carries the virus statisticus malignum – to explain how both approaches are different one from another. We illustrate Bayesian inference with intuitive examples, before introducing the mathematical framework. Different schools of thoughts and recommendations are discussed to illustrate how to use priors in Bayes Factor testing. We discuss how psychology could benefit from a greater reliance on Bayesian methods. Finally, we illustrate how to compute Bayes Factors analyses with real data and provide the R code.
Keywords
Bayesian statistics, probability, Bayes Factor, statistical inference
Create date
30/06/2020 21:16
Last modification date
22/08/2020 7:10
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