Residential radon - Comparative analysis of exposure models in Switzerland.

Details

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State: Public
Version: Final published version
License: CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
Serval ID
serval:BIB_387E28DD0EE3
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Residential radon - Comparative analysis of exposure models in Switzerland.
Journal
Environmental pollution
Author(s)
Vienneau D., Boz S., Forlin L., Flückiger B., de Hoogh K., Berlin C., Bochud M., Bulliard J.L., Zwahlen M., Röösli M.
ISSN
1873-6424 (Electronic)
ISSN-L
0269-7491
Publication state
Published
Issued date
15/02/2021
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
271
Pages
116356
Language
english
Notes
Publication types: Journal Article
Abstract
Residential radon exposure is a major public health issue in Switzerland due to the known association between inhaled radon progeny and lung cancer. To confirm recent findings of an association with skin cancer mortality, an updated national radon model is needed. The aim of this study was to derive the best possible residential radon prediction model for subsequent epidemiological analyses. Two different radon prediction models were developed (linear regression model vs. random forest) using ca. 80,000 measurements in the Swiss Radon Database (1994-2017). A range of geographic predictors and building specific predictors were considered in the 3-D models (x,y, floor of dwelling). A five-fold modelling strategy was used to evaluate the robustness of each approach, with models developed (80% measurement locations) and validated (20%) using standard diagnostics. Random forest consistently outperformed the linear regression model, with higher Spearman's rank correlation (51% vs. 36%), validation coefficient of determination (R <sup>2</sup> 31% vs. 15%), lower root mean square error (RMSE) and lower fractional bias. Applied to the population of 5.4 million adults in 2000, the random forest resulted in an arithmetic mean (standard deviation) of 75.5 (31.7) Bq/m <sup>3</sup> , and indicated a respective 16.1% and 0.1% adults with predicted radon concentrations exceeding the World Health Organization (100 Bq/m <sup>3</sup> ) and Swiss (300 Bq/m <sup>3</sup> ) reference values.
Keywords
Exposure, Household, Modelling, Radon
Pubmed
Open Access
Yes
Create date
11/01/2021 14:24
Last modification date
11/03/2021 8:08
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