Stability and change in party preferences.

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State: Public
Version: Final published version
Serval ID
serval:BIB_17B1D4739003
Type
Article: article from journal or magazin.
Collection
Publications
Institution
Title
Stability and change in party preferences.
Journal
Swiss Political Science Review
Author(s)
Kuhn Ursina
Publication state
Published
Issued date
2009
Peer-reviewed
Oui
Volume
15
Number
3
Pages
463-494
Language
english
Abstract
This article analyses stability and volatility of party preferences using data from the Swiss Household-Panel (SHP), which, for the first time, allow studying transitions and stability of voters over several years in Switzerland. Analyses cover the years 1999- 2007 and systematically distinguish changes between party blocks and changes within party blocks. The first part looks at different patterns of change, which show relatively high volatility. The second part tests several theories on causes of such changes applying a multinomial random-effects model. Results show that party preferences stabilise with their duration and with age and that the electoral cycle, political sophistication, socio-structural predispositions, the household-context as well as party size and the number of parties each explain part of electoral volatility. Different results for withinand between party-block changes underlie the importance of that differentiation.
Keywords
Electoral Research , Voting Intention , Panel Data , Volatility
Create date
12/01/2010 15:52
Last modification date
20/08/2019 12:47
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